About us

NavIncerta was established in July 2015 and aims to be of assistance for organizations that would like to improve their capabilities in the assessment of uncertainty and risk when making decisions. The core activity is delivery of online courses but this can be augmented with face-to-face engagements or consultancy.


Henk Krijnen, the founder of NavIncerta, has completed a career of 35 years with Shell which took him to Indonesia, Thailand, the United States and the Netherlands. During his┬álast five years in Shell’s corporate strategy department he played a pivotal role in establishing new approaches for risk and scenario analysis within the┬ácompany.

thijs1Thijs Koeling was a senior executive with Shell and worked in the Netherlands, the UK, Nigeria, New Zealand and Denmark. Following completion of his career of 25 years with Shell he became active in teaching economics and risk analysis.